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BUSINESS & TRADE                                                  SEPTEMBER 18, 2026       |  The Indian Eye 42


                                        Ethanol’s Next Test:




         Finding a Bigger Market Beyond E20






                 With ethanol production now exceeding current E20 blending requirements,

             India’s fuel market is entering a new phase where demand, vehicle technology and

                                          pricing will determine the future of biofuels.



        OUR BUREAU                                                                                            and industrial economy, the impact
                                                                                                              on overall crude-oil dependence will
        New Delhi / Mimbai
                                                                                                              remain limited.
            ndia’s ethanol story is entering a                                                                    This is why the government
            new phase. After rapidly expand-                                                                  is looking at technologies such as
        Iing production and achieving the                                                                     isobutanol  and biofuel applications
        E20 petrol-blending target, the gov-                                                                  beyond road transport. Cooking
        ernment is now confronting a differ-                                                                  and industrial uses are also being
        ent challenge: how to create enough                                                                   explored, while sugarcane residues,
        demand for the additional ethanol                                                                     byproducts and surplus food grains
        being produced.                                                                                       could provide  additional feedstock
            Prime Minister’s Advisor Tarun                                                                    and markets.
        Kapoor said on Wednesday that eth-                                                                        Compressed  biogas  (CBG)  is
        anol production had exceeded both                                                                     another part of this broader strategy.
        earlier expectations and the quantity                                                                 Kapoor acknowledged that progress
        currently required for petrol blend-                                                                  in CBG has been slower than expect-
        ing. “Ethanol production has gone                                                                     ed but said the Gobardhan scheme
        beyond our imagination,” Kapoor                                                                       could help bring together incentives
        said, adding that it was now “more                                                                    and benefits available through differ-
        than what we  had planned for and,                                                                    ent ministries.
        rather, more than what we actually   Prime Minister Narendra Modi launched E20 fuel and flags off Green Mobility Rally at the   The expansion of ethanol has
        need for blending.”                                                                                   also revived the debate over food
            The development marks an im-                   occasion of India Energy Week 2023 (ANI file)      security, land and water. A separate
        portant shift in India’s fuel market.                                                                 CRID India study estimates that
        Ethanol was initially seen largely   across the entire ecosystem — from   The bigger economic attraction   ethanol-attributable land use was
        as a way of reducing petrol imports   vehicle technology and fuel distribu-  for India is energy security. Ethanol   around 3.46 million hectares in 2023-
        and  creating an  additional market   tion to pricing and consumer accep-  can reduce the amount of crude oil   24, or about 1.58 per cent of India’s
        for sugarcane and other agricultural   tance.                       required for petrol production and   gross cropped area. The issue will be-
        products.  But  with  E20  now  estab-  A recent roadmap prepared by   create a domestic market for agricul-  come increasingly important if etha-
        lished, the industry and government   the All India Distillers’ Association   tural products and industrial byprod-  nol production continues to rise.
        are looking beyond conventional   and IIT Delhi highlights precisely   ucts. At a time when India remains   The challenge, therefore, is no
        petrol blending.                  this challenge. Its study on flex-fuel   heavily dependent on imported   longer simply producing ethanol.
            The immediate question is what   vehicles examines vehicle technolo-  crude, every additional domestic fuel   India has demonstrated that it can
        happens to the surplus production   gy, fuel pricing, infrastructure, sus-  source has strategic value.  create capacity and reach ambitious
        capacity. The answer could reshape   tainable  feedstock,  financing  and   But ethanol also exposes an   blending targets. The next challenge
        the fuel market over the coming   consumer adoption. Its 10-point   imbalance in India’s fuel economy.  is ensuring that the capacity remains
        years.                            roadmap seeks to create a commer-  Kapoor pointed out that the country   economically viable.
            The government is examining   cially viable FFV ecosystem as India   needs to balance petrol and diesel   The government’s search for
        ethanol blending beyond E20, but   moves beyond E20.                demand, given the large share of die-  new applications is ultimately about
        higher  blends  will  require  flex-fuel   For the automobile industry, this   sel in refinery output. He suggested   protecting  investments  already
        vehicles (FFVs) capable of using dif-  could eventually mean a wider range   that biofuel products that can be   made by producers while creating
        ferent ethanol-petrol combinations.  of vehicles designed to run on higher   used in diesel could be particularly   a larger domestic biofuel economy.
        Kapoor said petrol pumps would    ethanol blends. For fuel companies,  valuable.                      The post-E20 phase will depend on
        also have to provide higher ethanol   it could mean new grades of petrol   “If we can also get some product   whether India can connect ethanol
        blends, including pure ethanol with   and potentially pure ethanol becom-  which can be used in diesel, then it   production with vehicles, fuel sta-
        suitable additives, alongside vehicles   ing available at retail outlets. For   will be great,” he said.  tions, pricing, agriculture and indus-
        designed to use them.             consumers, however, the econom-       That  is  significant  because  sim-  trial demand.
            This creates a new link between   ics will be crucial. Higher ethanol   ply producing more ethanol does   Ethanol has already changed In-
        the fuel and automobile industries.  blends will have to offer a compelling   not  solve  the  broader  energy  prob-  dia’s petrol market. Its next impact
        Higher ethanol consumption cannot   proposition if FFVs are to move be-  lem. If ethanol expands rapidly on   could be much larger — if the country
        simply be mandated at the refinery   yond a policy-driven market and gain   the petrol side while diesel demand   succeeds in building the market that
        or retail level. It requires investment   widespread acceptance.    continues to dominate the transport   its expanding production now requires.


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